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新2投注平台出租:Malaysian banks remain steadfast in supporting economic recovery

新2投注平台出租:Malaysian banks remain steadfast in supporting economic recovery

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KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian banks have remained steadfast in its role as the country’s financial backbone in 2022, supporting economic recovery by providing the necessary liquidity in the market.

According to Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), the banking system continued to maintain healthy liquidity positions, recording a strong liquidity coverage ratio of 152.5 per cent in September -- a position which remained supportive of intermediation activities.

The central bank said sustained deposit growth amid the recovery in economic activities continued to support banks’ lending activities. The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 82.5 per cent in September (August: 82.6 per cent).

OPR, loan growth

BNM’s move to increase the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points four times this year, bringing it to 2.75 per cent currently, is also seen as benefitting the banking sector as the net interest margin is anticipated to widen.

Analysts said although the rising OPR may dampen credit demand, it would not derail the loan growth momentum.

In September, system loans grew by a solid 6.4 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y) and 0.6 per cent month-on-month. On an annualised basis, loan growth was 5.8 per cent.

S&P Global Ratings is positive about the outlook for Malaysian banks. It anticipated the system loan growth to stay at five to six per cent in 2023, saying the country’s economic growth over the next three years as well as solid capitalisation and provisioning buffers will help offset any potential asset quality pressures.

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The credit rating agency predicted a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 6.6 per cent y-o-y in 2022 and an average 4.5 per cent growth over the next three years.

"Economic stability will support the creditworthiness of Malaysian businesses and consumers,” it said.

The agency also expected banks’ earnings to improve due to higher margins and lower credit costs.

Kenanga Research senior equity analyst Clement Chua Min Tze told Bernama that banks should be delivering better operating profits this year on the back of larger loans portfolios and interest margins, now riding on rising OPR.

Additionally, he said, lower provisioning needs post-Movement Control Order would also provide a breather to bottom lines, with possible write backs from prior years’ bookings to come in progressively.

However, he noted that net earnings would be bogged down by 2022’s one-time prosperity tax which has led to some banks expecting to report flattish or even declining profits.

According to him, monetary tightening will likely put a strain on household loans before suppressing the appetite for business loans in the second half of 2023, when OPR is hoped to stabilise at 3.00 per cent after one more hike in the first half of 2023.

That said, the higher rates would be supportive of profitability, alleviating some pressure amid heightening competition for cheap deposits, Chua added.

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